The Palindrome

The Palindrome

Share this post

The Palindrome
The Palindrome
Is probability frequentist or Bayesian?

Is probability frequentist or Bayesian?

Spoiler alert: it's neither

Tivadar Danka's avatar
Tivadar Danka
Aug 14, 2023
∙ Paid
26

Share this post

The Palindrome
The Palindrome
Is probability frequentist or Bayesian?
2
Share

The single biggest argument about statistics: is probability frequentist or Bayesian? It's neither, and I'll explain why.

Buckle up. Deep-dive explanation incoming.

First, let's look at what is probability.

Probability quantitatively measures the likelihood of events, like rolling six with a dice. It's a number between zero and one. This is independent of interpretation; it’s a rule set in stone.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to The Palindrome to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Tivadar Danka
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share